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DEAR FOLKS:
At long last I am writing a letter to you. In fact, to
anyone. I must adimit that I have been spending so much time at
Vicarm and at Stanford during the evenings that I have had little
inclination to write. The current business dealings have caused a
change in this total preoccupation with producing arms though. It is
now obvious that a few written lines will help me to clear my
thoughts a bit.
Its Monday evening and Russ Noftsker has gone back to Los
Angeles. Russ is an electrical engineer who used to be at M.I.T. and
is the guy who interfaced the arm there. He also was instrumental in
getting the Texas Instruments Corp. order, and provided them with
consulting. I have engaged him to handle some of my electronics work
and problems. We spent the weekend going over my commitments, and
outlining a plan for both of us. He will develop all the electronics
for the Bureau of Standards arm and will return in three weeks with a
prototype system. In the meantime I will be actually fabricating the
unit which we will send to Washington.
Texas Instruments called today. They have been having some
problems with their arm, but they are not dissappointed yet. I have
promised to provide them with the necessary repair parts and make
improvements as needed. They seem to be patient. With respect to
the other arms, we have finally gotten to the stage where we can
start assembing arms, as at long last most of the parts have been
made and the ordered components arrived. What has up until now been
just a large pile of parts out on workbenches is now transforming
into several beautiful black Vicarms.
Before I get into the current discussion on merger, etc. , I
will give you a capsule business summary of last years activities.
We delivered three arms during the year- all model M.I.T. type. In
return we were paid about $20,000. We also had a small machining
contract with I.B.M. which netted us about $100. Thus our income was
about $20,100 for the year. We had expenses too. For labor we spent
about $15,000 all told. We puchased a lot of commercial components.
This cost us somewhere around $10,000. We also contracted for
machining and other manufacturing and support services. This cost us
about $15,000 during the year. In addition we have the usual
overhead of rent, utilities, phone, and everyday office expenses
which cost us another $5,000 or so during the year. This made our
total expenses amount to about $45,000 during 1974. Subtracted from
our income we find that a net cash outflow of about $25,000 occurred
during 1974. But note, that this does not represent loss, for in
addition to the deliveries made in 1974, we also contracted for more
sales and made capital outlays for the construction of all of these
contracted for manipulators. Thus, Vicarm now has a total of 8 orders
in the process of being filled within the next three months. And the
nice thing to know is that most of the manufacturing expenses have
already been incurred.
Having worked daily at Vicarm for 3 months now, I now realize
that I cannot alone handle all the duties required to complete all my
contracts. Possibly, I will be able to deliver all the arms I have
contracted for, but it is obvious to me now that I must consider
having at least one other person who I can rely on to handle the more
mundane activities which take up so much of my time these days.
These tasks include handling the books, ordering parts, keeping track
of outside vendor delivery schedules, inspecting parts, talking with
customers, solving and organizing the work required to solve the
assorted known arm problems, and the new ones pointed out by
customers who are trying to use these arms. It is obvious that these
administrative tasks and the customer relations tasks will take more
and more time in the future.
TWO SOLUTIONS APPEAR PRACTICAL. The first is to not sell any
more arms after the current orders have been filled until the company
is in the proper hands. By proper hands, I mean, giving away the
designs and the details, plus some of the knowledge.... for a price,
of course. This could take the form, of finding some other firm to
make the arms, or becomming a subsidiary of another larger firm- as
in a merger. In this way, the operating mechanism would be turned
over to an established organization. As a second alternative, I
would consider expansion as an independent company. Getting some
capable people in to handle the jobs they have been trained for-
administrators to administrate, and engineers to engineer, etc. Now,
to do this will require outside investment. Investment in the form
of both money and time, in exchange for ownership and control. It
seems that the arm business will be too vast to try to internally
finance anything larger than a small program.
THERE IS A THIRD ALTERNATIVE, ALBIEET AN INTERIM ALTERNATIVE.
And this involves just continuing along as I have been going, but
with a greater spread in delivery dates, and less of a commitment to
new and better designs. In essence, it appears that with a limited
increase in staff- possibly one new person, Vicarm could continue to
make the arms it already has developed, and also introduce a new
product here and there for the next few years. ON A SMALL SCALE-
while playing a wait and see attitude
...sort of waiting to get approached by a big company, or else to see
what happens to the overall robot market. The risk here is that
tVicarm will get left behind and find itself entirely out of the mass
market, and only in the special designs market. But the safety is
that the potential for loss isnt very great, as the capital
investment will be modest.
I am at the present time inclined to want to continue along
on the current scale to complete the orders I have taken. In the
meantime, I will be talking here and there with potential "partners",
with the idea that should something promising develop, I would make a
deal. This does not mean that I would not do something right away.
What it does mean is that I would not do something which would
totally commit me to one course of action right away. This is how we
get to Bill Lapson.
I've mentioned that I have been having serious discussions
with this person named Bill Lapson. Bill got his PhD at Stanford,
about 5 years ago. In M.E.--- Design. Since that time he has worked
at a research and paper product company called Accurex. His job
involved work on assorted contracts- mostly government contracts in
which fluid flows were involved. He designed some wind tunnels, and
assorted experimental and laboratory equipment. Bill was recently
laid off from Accurex because of lack of work. I have the names of
some of the people he worked with and will be checking into the real
reasons if any. I feel that he was terminated because of politics,
and not because of his work capabilities. As I mentioned, Bill is
the sort of guy whose opinions are so strong that you hesitate to get
involved out of fear of clash. and he has gotten into many clashes
in his life. Technically, he is competent to design and do advanced
development. He is probably not the best guy to get a product out
the door which is a production model. , as he has only really had
contact with prototypes all his life. And as far as that goes, its
the same with me, although over the past year or two I have learned a
lot about production.
I will not go into the details of Bill, at least not the same
ones I mentioned to you over the phone. By the way, I did not yet
get your letter today, but will expect it tomorrow. I diid do
something new. I called up a former professor, who also happened to
be Bill's thesis advisor- Peter Z. Bulkeley who is now Dean of
Engineering at Bradley University in Peoria, Ill. We talked for
about an hour and he did give me some rather solid advice, including
some leads which I will follow up tomorrow. He feels that Bill is
competent as an engineer and creative inventor, but he is wary of his
business and administrative capabilities. He also feels that I
should talk to more people before making a permanent commitment. As
Pete says, I have the choice between a Toy and a Corporation. One is
play and fun, the other serious and exacting. He gave me the name of
a venture capital firm which I will constact tomorrow.... just for a
conversation. He also gave me the name of another guy in Los Angeles
who he feels very competent. I will try to talk to him too. In any
event, he has encouraged me to look around before making a definite
commitment.
BUT THERE IS A CATCH- I have not yet said anything about a
PhD in the above thoughts. The general concensus is that if
outsiders get involved, I will probably have to seriously think of
putting off the Thesis a few years. And this is what I am trying to
avoid. That is the one area where Bill can help me out. He is one
person who can learn the ropes quickly and easily and probably will
be able to run from there- technically. Whereas, I may not be able
to find another person who could do the same, at this time. I must
admit, that should it oome down to it that I have a chance to make
the proverbial 10 million (inflation), or do the PhD, I would have to
opt for the money at the moment, because if, and only if the
certainty of making the money were good, I could probably accomplish
all that I want to do in the PhD, in the context of that new business
enterprise. But for the time being, I am still looking for the way
to have my cake and eat it too... so to speak. Until I find it, or
find that it is not possible, I will just keep going along.
Interestingly enough, I am relaxing a bit more these days. The cash
outflow is not as great, and it seems that I am slowly getting on top
of the once insurmountable list of problems and unsolved details
involved in the arm designs.
I was also thinking that it may be good for you to plan on
comming out here- possibly for a whole week. You could get an idea
of just what I am trying to do, and maybe also get a chance to talk
to some of the people I am dealing with. How does that sound?
Hey, I'm getting a bit tired, so I should sign off now. I
that this letter is a bit confusing especially when compared to your
carefully planned and executed treatises. But it's better than
nothing you'll have to admit. By the way, .... hi mom, I know that
you will problably read this letter too.
I'll send more in a few days.... maybe after I talk to this
one venture capital group.... assuming that they will talk to me.